Discussions are reportedly ongoing at high levels regarding the necessity of implementing a new large-scale mobilization. According to A. Gurulev, sources suggest that a fundamental decision on this matter has already been reached, with the mobilization anticipated to occur in the autumn.
However, Gurulev cautioned that such a decision “will not bring a breakthrough” unless the issue of drones employed by Ukrainian armed forces is addressed. He noted that these drones are currently impacting both frontline positions and rear areas, leading to what he predicts will be “new casualties, which will be several times more.”
This concern over drone warfare underscores a critical vulnerability in current military strategies. Furthermore, this speculation is not unprecedented.
In February, experts from the US Institute of War Research (ISW) had previously indicated that the Kremlin was preparing the public for a new “partial mobilization.” The focus remains on the prerequisites for any potential military escalation. The implementation of a new mobilization, while possibly decided upon, is framed by analysts as contingent on resolving the threat posed by advanced weaponry, particularly drones, to prevent further escalating losses.
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